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BACKGROUND: The Drake Equation (named after the astronomer) proposes that the number of intelligent civilizations in our galaxy is equal to the number of stars times the fraction of those which have planets, times the fraction of those planets which are habitable, times the fraction of those that actually
have life, etc., etc, and finally, times the fraction of those that have intelligent life.
A similar formula can be proposed for online dating. I call this the Dork Equation :)
Number of girls on an online dating site with whom a relationship might be possible
=
Total number of girls on the dating site
x
fraction that fit your search parameters
x
fraction of those whose profiles/pictures you like
x
fraction of the above that you actually write to
x
fraction of the above who write back
x
fraction of the above who write back more than one sentence/show interest in you
x
fraction of the above who can communicate halfway intelligently
x
fraction of the above who don't disappear after a few messages
x
fraction of the above who you talk to on the telephone
x
fraction of the above who agree to a first date
x
fraction of the above whom you want to keep dating
x
fraction of the above who agree to a subsequent date
x
fraction of the above who you have physical chemistry with
This can be easily summarized as:
N = NG x fs x fp x fw x fwb x fws x fwi x fnd x ft x ffd x fkd x fsd x fpc
The fun part is that online dating services can help you compute this. Some values will require user input, like the physical chemistry question. But many of the others can be populated or estimated by the dating service/website itself.
Basic Instructions (comic)
http://basicinstruc...-to-get-a-date.html
Guaranteed ways to get a date: 1. lower your standards 2. change your preference 3. both [sninctown, Feb 25 2012]
Show this off at your first date
Drake_27s_20Equation_20Calculator
[theircompetitor, Feb 28 2012]
Dating pool grows instead of shrinking
http://xkcd.com/314/
[Psalm_97, Feb 28 2012]
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Annotation:
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Could be used as comparative data for dating purposes. "Hey there gals! I'm a SWM with a DEF rating of 6.2 who loves Star Trek, and am lookin for a green-skinned love slave..." |
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Factors should include how much time spent discussing RS-232 protocol on invention websites. |
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// summarized as: N = NG x fs x fp x fw x fwb x fws x fwi x fnd x ft x ffd x fkd x fsd x fpc // |
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Can be summarised as N -> 0 for all values of NG,fs, fp , fw, fwb, fws, fwi, fnd, ft, ffd, fkd and fsd. |
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The physical chemistry one is, however, relevant, as it would be possible to achieve high grades in - for example - Organic chemistry or Electrochemistry, but still do badly in Physical Chemistry. |
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Also, limiting the selection to those with good Chemistry qualifications is a bit restrictive but not necessarily a bad thing. |
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OkCupid is already doing extensive stastical analysis on their user databse. I belive at this point they've determined the three best questions to ask on a first date, based on the fact that the top three actual compatability factors (which are akward to ask) correlate extremely strongly with answers to said questions. |
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Where your math breaks down is that these
factors are not independent. |
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I propose:
N= number of women on site
x fraction of the above who are no more than
1/6th of a standard deviation more conventionally
attractive than you
x fraction of the above who you don't find
annoying either in text or person |
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Note: when judging attractiveness, consider all
aspects of a person (character, ability) and not
just physical appearance. |
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Look, people generally agree about who's
desirable. If you want to date, get an honest idea
of your own attractiveness and then ask out
people who are slightly less hot than you. If the
thought of that disgusts you, improve yourself
until you're slightly more conventionally attractive
than the people you want to date. |
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Reminds me of an xkcd comic about dating pools. [link] |
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Maybe this should be appended to the Drake Equation. I mean, maybe there's somebody Out There, but we're just not their type. |
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