h a l f b a k e r yBusiness Failure Incubator
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The idea here is to improve your odds against the casino by
updating a cloud-based database (as Waze does for traffic, cop
stops, etc) with your success rate at a given slot.
In this way, players can cooperate to truly understand when a
given machine is "due" -- and though the information would
be
imperfect, Waze has shown that it can be sufficient to improve
outcomes.
[link]
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Anything that improves my odds at slots gets a +. Just for
thinking about it, gets a +. I squandered more money at the
Connecticut casinos then I care to even say. No more. I'm
cured. Whew. |
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A given machine is never due, or if it is, the gaming
commission will be talking to the operators. |
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Now, for the purely electronic ones, it might be possible to
determine if they're using a pseudo random number
generator, and what the pattern is, but I wouldn't be
optimistic about that. |
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Licensed gaming machines pay out a minimum percentage
of what's put in, therefore in order to comply with
regulations such machines must implement an adjustable
control over how much is paid as winnings, and when. |
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It follows then that be monitoring usage and payouts is
should be possible to judge // when a given machine is
"due" //. |
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OK so that's the first half of the idea baked, Baking the
second half seems problematic. |
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//Licensed gaming machines pay out a minimum
percentage of what's put in, therefore in order to
comply with regulations such machines must
implement an adjustable control over how much is
paid as winnings, and when.// |
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Uh, no. If you mean that they actually _do_ do
this, then that's fair enough. But they don't
_need_ to do it, to comply with a percentage. If I
have a coin-tossing machine, it will average out to
50% heads without any "correction". |
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In the US at least, gaming comissions do specify a payout
percentage, but it's not enforced on a time limit. As [MB]
suggests, it's enforced by setting the odds of payout such
that the average payout over time will match the
requirement. The odds are set when the machine is put
into service, and they aren't dynamically adjusted. |
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If the machine's down a bit or up a bit at any given time, it
doesn't matter, as long as mathematically, it should average
out. |
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Maybe pilot this approach on powerball lottery numbers, where if you start winning a lot you are less likely to be taken out back by good smelling, very large men in ties. |
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There is Nick Cage movie with a great scene at the beginning where they are trying to eject him from the casino for his improbably good luck. |
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