h a l f b a k e r yNaturally, seismology provides the answer.
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Just heard a serious discussion on CNBC about not
reopening the NYSE floor. Certainly it's not opening any
time soon.
Prices for office space in Manhattan are doubtless crashing
right now. Sure, life will return at some point, but density,
density, density -- that I think is over for a considerable
amount of time -- perhaps forever.
In the US at least there's a good chance this will also
reverse the movement (which started in the last crisis) of
renting and living in cities -- back to the suburbs.
But for those living in cities, unused office spaces are a
great platform for creating many thousands of great living
spaces.
Spanish flu ~ Jan 1918 to Dec 1920.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu Last one. [Skewed, Apr 07 2020]
18891890 flu pandemic
https://en.wikipedi...931890_flu_pandemic The one b4. [Skewed, Apr 07 2020]
Buildings wrapped with walkways
Buildings_20wrapped_20with_20walkways Hospital precinct on floors 25-45 [chronological, Apr 11 2020]
[link]
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We suggest that a cubical format will be found to be the optimum. |
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Towns and cities in the traditional sense are losing their reason for existence. Many of the facilities that cities provide can now be provided more cheaply by a fully distributed system. |
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It is necessary to ask the question "What is an urban centre for ?" since physical proximity is less and less important for business. For manufacturing, yes - that can often only be done efficiently by concentrating resources on a single, large site. But anything information-based can be dispersed. |
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Yes.Yes.Yes.
Yes.Yes.Yes.
Yes.Yes.Yes.
Yes.Yes.Yes.
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My, you're looking very quorate today. |
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This is going to bring up an interesting tension
amidst the environmentalists. Too much density
risks this kind of virus nonsense. Too much sprawl
eats too many resources inefficiently. |
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We already did Occupy Wall Street... |
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// Too much sprawl eats too many resources inefficiently. // |
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Put the poor people and the Eco-fascists in the tall buildings at high density. |
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Put the wealthy ones in the low-density suburban and rural sprawl; since there are fewer of them, they will consume more space, but less total resource. |
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As you point out, denser populations are vulnerable to transmissible diseases. Oh, wait .... |
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smart buildings out of skyscrapers make a lot of sense. They
could have supermarkets, medical centers, parks on certain
floors, and apartments with spectacular views. |
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... funeral homes, crematoria ... |
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You never gave me that Picard commentary? Did you make
peace with Seven's sexual orientation? |
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I'd put this in <Blatantly Idiotic Predictions for 2020>, if it
was
blatantly idiotic, but it's not, at least not in the sense of
being
highly unlikely. |
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"Nothing much will change". |
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Like the Spanish flu this will pass, & things will just go back
to how they were b4. |
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Not quite; established authority will take yet another crippling, irretrievably damaging blow - one the facts become clear - and the corrosive distrust will rot even further into the foundations of nation states. |
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Soon, it will be time for Cleansing by Fire and the Sword. |
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//Like the Spanish flu this will pass, & things will just go
back to how they were b4.// |
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In the sense that there would be an enormous new boom
followed by a depression? |
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Things change all the time. The frog just doesn't notice it |
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//an enormous new boom followed by a depression?// |
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You forgot the world war that followed those. |
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He has, we haven't, hence the "Fire and the Sword" comment. |
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//Things change all the time. The frog just doesn't notice
it// |
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He does if he can read & has access to a library of historic
data. |
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[Adjusts glasses & turns a page] |
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Change in the (societal) sense I'm on about happens at a
snail's pace (if at all),
it's why I'm so well fed. |
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[Munches contemplatively on a fresh snail that didn't move
fast enough] |
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& after this brief hiatus all evidence of prior examples
very much suggest things will quickly return to how they
were b4 & then continue at that same snails pace. |
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If you think
otherwise [their] you just haven't listened to the WHO
closely enough. |
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//not reopening the NYSE floor// |
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Actually, NYSE is far behind the curve. What other stock
exchange still has an open- outcry trading floor? It's like writing
paper cheques; come on America, do try to keep up! ;-) |
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There are many things more worthy of fixing before the trading floor gets to the top of the list... |
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> smart buildings out of skyscrapers make a lot of sense.
They could have supermarkets, medical centers, parks on
certain floors, and apartments with spectacular views.
theircompetitor, Apr 07 2020 |
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Reminds me of buildings wrapped with walkways, I added a
link. |
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